Towards uncertainty-driven treatment planning in radiotherapy

Supervisor: Prof Tristan Pryer

Partners: National Physical Laboratory

About the Project

This project is co-funded and co-supervised by the National Physical Laboratory (NPL), offering a unique opportunity to engage in applied mathematics research with direct clinical and industrial relevance.

Modern radiotherapy aims to deliver a precise dose of radiation to a tumour while minimising harm to surrounding healthy tissue. As delivery technologies become increasingly accurate, treatment success becomes more sensitive to uncertainty, both physical (e.g. anatomical variation, setup and delivery errors) and biological (e.g. individual differences in tissue response). These sources of uncertainty are typically treated independently or handled heuristically. There is currently no unified mathematical framework for quantifying and incorporating them into treatment planning.

This project addresses that gap. We aim to develop a rigorous, data-informed mathematical formalism to represent, propagate and mitigate uncertainty in radiotherapy. The focus is on building tractable models that support robust optimisation and personalised treatment decisions.

The project will draw on tools from probability, statistics, optimisation and PDE-constrained inverse problems. Candidates will investigate how to model uncertainties using stochastic processes and Bayesian approaches, how to propagate these uncertainties through transport or diffusion-based models of radiation dose and how to incorporate them into treatment plan optimisation via multi-objective or risk-aware formulations.

Project keywords: uncertainty quantification, robust optimisation, radiotherapy

Candidate Requirements

In addition to the SAMBa entrance requirements, the ideal candidate will have a good understanding of probability, statistics and differential equations, together with experience in numerical or computational modelling.

Contact the SAMBa team at samba@bath.ac.uk if you are unsure about your eligibility and would like to discuss your potential application.

Enquiries and Applications

Informal enquiries are encouraged and should be directed to supervisor Prof Tristan Pryer tmp38@bath.ac.uk.

Applications are open for entry in September 2026. Apply via the University of Bath’s online application form for an Integrated PhD in Statistical Applied Mathematics. Early applications are encouraged.

IMPORTANT:

When completing the application form:

  1. In the Finance section, enter ‘SAMBa’ when asked to name the scholarship or PhD studentship you wish to be considered for.
  2. In the Your research interests section, quote the project title of this project at the top of your statement or proposal and the name of the lead supervisor in the appropriate box.

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